Recent numerical weather prediction models show Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 4 likely centering near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any mei-yu frontal rain, and urban heat island amplification at official stations. Historical early-June averages hover around 27–28°C, but current patterns favor slightly above-normal values under moderate humidity and weak steering winds. Differentiation between 29°C and 30°C hinges on whether daytime insolation peaks before or after brief showers, while 31°C+ requires stronger clearing; 28°C or lower would need more persistent cloudiness. Traders weigh these model runs against climatological baselines as new updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
7%
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
21°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
22°C
$34 交易量
<1%
23°C
$137 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C
$454 交易量
1%
26°C
$2 交易量
3%
27°C
$72 交易量
4%
28°C
$19 交易量
11%
29°C
$0 交易量
32%
30°C
$61 交易量
24%
31°C or higher
$298 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 4 likely centering near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any mei-yu frontal rain, and urban heat island amplification at official stations. Historical early-June averages hover around 27–28°C, but current patterns favor slightly above-normal values under moderate humidity and weak steering winds. Differentiation between 29°C and 30°C hinges on whether daytime insolation peaks before or after brief showers, while 31°C+ requires stronger clearing; 28°C or lower would need more persistent cloudiness. Traders weigh these model runs against climatological baselines as new updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$771结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 4 likely centering near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any mei-yu frontal rain, and urban heat island amplification at official stations. Historical early-June averages hover around 27–28°C, but current patterns favor slightly above-normal values under moderate humidity and weak steering winds. Differentiation between 29°C and 30°C hinges on whether daytime insolation peaks before or after brief showers, while 31°C+ requires stronger clearing; 28°C or lower would need more persistent cloudiness. Traders weigh these model runs against climatological baselines as new updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$771结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models show Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 4 likely centering near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any mei-yu frontal rain, and urban heat island amplification at official stations. Historical early-June averages hover around 27–28°C, but current patterns favor slightly above-normal values under moderate humidity and weak steering winds. Differentiation between 29°C and 30°C hinges on whether daytime insolation peaks before or after brief showers, while 31°C+ requires stronger clearing; 28°C or lower would need more persistent cloudiness. Traders weigh these model runs against climatological baselines as new updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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