Current forecasts from Philippine atmospheric agencies point to a June 4 daytime maximum near 32°C in Manila as the southwest monsoon begins to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Early June climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, with the precise peak sensitive to the timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C on any given day. Model consensus currently favors conditions that keep the maximum in the low- to mid-30s Celsius range, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether monsoon activity strengthens enough to favor the lower end of that band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
33°C 45%
32°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
37%
33°C
45%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 45%
32°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
26°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
27°C
$25 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25 交易量
2%
29°C
$25 交易量
1%
30°C
$10 交易量
3%
31°C
$12 交易量
12%
32°C
$26 交易量
37%
33°C
$15 交易量
45%
34°C
$20 交易量
9%
35°C
$26 交易量
5%
36°C or higher
$10 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine atmospheric agencies point to a June 4 daytime maximum near 32°C in Manila as the southwest monsoon begins to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Early June climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, with the precise peak sensitive to the timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C on any given day. Model consensus currently favors conditions that keep the maximum in the low- to mid-30s Celsius range, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether monsoon activity strengthens enough to favor the lower end of that band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$189结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine atmospheric agencies point to a June 4 daytime maximum near 32°C in Manila as the southwest monsoon begins to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Early June climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, with the precise peak sensitive to the timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C on any given day. Model consensus currently favors conditions that keep the maximum in the low- to mid-30s Celsius range, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether monsoon activity strengthens enough to favor the lower end of that band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$189结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Philippine atmospheric agencies point to a June 4 daytime maximum near 32°C in Manila as the southwest monsoon begins to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Early June climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, with the precise peak sensitive to the timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C on any given day. Model consensus currently favors conditions that keep the maximum in the low- to mid-30s Celsius range, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether monsoon activity strengthens enough to favor the lower end of that band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题