Current numerical weather prediction models show Madrid under stable anticyclonic conditions on June 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 31–32°C, consistent with recent days when highs reached 31–34°C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects. June climatology places the long-term average high near 28–30°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave dynamics. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference stations, with model updates through the evening of June 2 likely refining the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 3?
32°C 42%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
30°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
34%
32°C
42%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
30°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
34%
32°C
42%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models show Madrid under stable anticyclonic conditions on June 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 31–32°C, consistent with recent days when highs reached 31–34°C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects. June climatology places the long-term average high near 28–30°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave dynamics. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference stations, with model updates through the evening of June 2 likely refining the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题