Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place the overnight minimum in Paris for June 3 between 12°C and 15°C, aligning with early-June climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while limiting daytime warming. Narrow model spreads and recent runs showing little deviation from these values underpin the tight clustering of trader positions around 12–14°C, with minor probability assigned to outliers only if steering patterns or clearer skies develop unexpectedly before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
15°C 25%
12°C 24%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
24%
14°C
30%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
15°C 25%
12°C 24%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
24%
14°C
30%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place the overnight minimum in Paris for June 3 between 12°C and 15°C, aligning with early-June climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while limiting daytime warming. Narrow model spreads and recent runs showing little deviation from these values underpin the tight clustering of trader positions around 12–14°C, with minor probability assigned to outliers only if steering patterns or clearer skies develop unexpectedly before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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