Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 3 amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, when solar heating remains strong before widespread cloud cover and rainfall fully develop. Historical June averages of 32°C, combined with recent observational trends showing minimal cooling from typical early-wet-season humidity and convection patterns, underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher. Uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized thunderstorm intensity could shift outcomes toward 30°C, though sustained clear periods favor the upper range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
31°C or higher 80%
30°C 18%
29°C 3.5%
28°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
80%
31°C or higher 80%
30°C 18%
29°C 3.5%
28°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
21°C or below
$434 交易量
<1%
22°C
$540 交易量
<1%
23°C
$675 交易量
<1%
24°C
$547 交易量
<1%
25°C
$437 交易量
<1%
26°C
$227 交易量
<1%
27°C
$493 交易量
<1%
28°C
$236 交易量
1%
29°C
$508 交易量
4%
30°C
$346 交易量
18%
31°C or higher
$401 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 3 amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, when solar heating remains strong before widespread cloud cover and rainfall fully develop. Historical June averages of 32°C, combined with recent observational trends showing minimal cooling from typical early-wet-season humidity and convection patterns, underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher. Uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized thunderstorm intensity could shift outcomes toward 30°C, though sustained clear periods favor the upper range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$4,846结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 3 amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, when solar heating remains strong before widespread cloud cover and rainfall fully develop. Historical June averages of 32°C, combined with recent observational trends showing minimal cooling from typical early-wet-season humidity and convection patterns, underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher. Uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized thunderstorm intensity could shift outcomes toward 30°C, though sustained clear periods favor the upper range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,846结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ETCurrent forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 3 amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, when solar heating remains strong before widespread cloud cover and rainfall fully develop. Historical June averages of 32°C, combined with recent observational trends showing minimal cooling from typical early-wet-season humidity and convection patterns, underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher. Uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized thunderstorm intensity could shift outcomes toward 30°C, though sustained clear periods favor the upper range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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