Current weather models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high near 22–23°C for Moscow on June 3, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This consensus aligns with climatological June averages of 20–22°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler extremes reflecting ensemble uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations will resolve the market once maximum temperatures are recorded at standard meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
23°C 32%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
31%
23°C
32%
24°C
14%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 32%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
31%
23°C
32%
24°C
14%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high near 22–23°C for Moscow on June 3, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This consensus aligns with climatological June averages of 20–22°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler extremes reflecting ensemble uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations will resolve the market once maximum temperatures are recorded at standard meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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