Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 19–20°C on June 2 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with early-June climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 20°C before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Trader-implied probabilities place the highest weight on these two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little spread around that narrow range, with only modest upside potential if daytime heating exceeds expectations or downside if thicker cloud cover persists. Updated model runs through the morning of June 2 will determine whether any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions alters the final maximum before official Russian meteorological observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 2?
19°C 43%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 14%
$22,834 交易量
$22,834 交易量
2026-06-02
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
19%
19°C
43%
20°C
26%
21°C
14%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 14%
$22,834 交易量
$22,834 交易量
2026-06-02
15°C or below
$3,346 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,504 交易量
1%
17°C
$2,341 交易量
2%
18°C
$2,267 交易量
19%
19°C
$825 交易量
43%
20°C
$865 交易量
26%
21°C
$1,885 交易量
14%
22°C
$2,695 交易量
3%
23°C
$3,236 交易量
<1%
24°C
$726 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,376 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 19–20°C on June 2 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with early-June climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 20°C before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Trader-implied probabilities place the highest weight on these two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little spread around that narrow range, with only modest upside potential if daytime heating exceeds expectations or downside if thicker cloud cover persists. Updated model runs through the morning of June 2 will determine whether any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions alters the final maximum before official Russian meteorological observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$22,834结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 19–20°C on June 2 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with early-June climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 20°C before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Trader-implied probabilities place the highest weight on these two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little spread around that narrow range, with only modest upside potential if daytime heating exceeds expectations or downside if thicker cloud cover persists. Updated model runs through the morning of June 2 will determine whether any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions alters the final maximum before official Russian meteorological observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,834结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 19–20°C on June 2 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with early-June climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 20°C before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Trader-implied probabilities place the highest weight on these two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little spread around that narrow range, with only modest upside potential if daytime heating exceeds expectations or downside if thicker cloud cover persists. Updated model runs through the morning of June 2 will determine whether any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions alters the final maximum before official Russian meteorological observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题