Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on June 3, driven by a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow that has replaced cooler northerly winds from earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show a tight cluster around 80–83 °F, with minor spreads arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap or enhance surface heating. Historical climatology for early June places the average high near 75 °F, so this setup represents a modest above-normal anomaly consistent with the seasonal transition. Traders are weighting the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins most heavily because updated runs have narrowed the range while leaving room for a degree or two of variability from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. The next high-resolution model cycles and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on June 3?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on June 3, driven by a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow that has replaced cooler northerly winds from earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show a tight cluster around 80–83 °F, with minor spreads arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap or enhance surface heating. Historical climatology for early June places the average high near 75 °F, so this setup represents a modest above-normal anomaly consistent with the seasonal transition. Traders are weighting the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins most heavily because updated runs have narrowed the range while leaving room for a degree or two of variability from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. The next high-resolution model cycles and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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