Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily high near 66–70°F in San Francisco on June 3, driven by offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence typical for early June. This aligns with climatological warming trends, where average highs rise from the mid-60s in late May toward 70°F by month-end. Traders have priced the 66°F-or-higher bracket at 95.5% because the latest model runs show limited downside risk from fog or onshore winds. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or cooler Pacific air mass arriving overnight could still pull readings into the low-to-mid 60s, though such shifts would require rapid changes in the 500-mb pattern not currently indicated by operational guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 3?
66°F or higher 95.5%
64-65°F 3.1%
62-63°F 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
96%
66°F or higher 95.5%
64-65°F 3.1%
62-63°F 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily high near 66–70°F in San Francisco on June 3, driven by offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence typical for early June. This aligns with climatological warming trends, where average highs rise from the mid-60s in late May toward 70°F by month-end. Traders have priced the 66°F-or-higher bracket at 95.5% because the latest model runs show limited downside risk from fog or onshore winds. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or cooler Pacific air mass arriving overnight could still pull readings into the low-to-mid 60s, though such shifts would require rapid changes in the 500-mb pattern not currently indicated by operational guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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