Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Shanghai's June 3 maximum in the 30–33°C range, with the tightest market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer mixing during the early plum-rain period. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual warming, while scattered afternoon convection introduces uncertainty in exact peak values; historical early-June climatology shows daily highs averaging near 28–30°C but with frequent 2–3°C day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and observational adjustments through tomorrow morning will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日上海气温最高?
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
30°C 14%
33°C 12.8%
$18,639 交易量
$18,639 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C
28%
33°C
13%
34°C或更高
4%
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
30°C 14%
33°C 12.8%
$18,639 交易量
$18,639 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C
28%
33°C
13%
34°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Shanghai's June 3 maximum in the 30–33°C range, with the tightest market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer mixing during the early plum-rain period. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual warming, while scattered afternoon convection introduces uncertainty in exact peak values; historical early-June climatology shows daily highs averaging near 28–30°C but with frequent 2–3°C day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and observational adjustments through tomorrow morning will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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