Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 3, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 58–63°F. This positioning reflects the latest model consensus on a moderating air mass following recent early June conditions, with typical variability in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from stronger synoptic features like fronts or high pressure. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows near 60°F, providing context for why probabilities favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated model runs and any revisions to guidance on cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 26%
56-57°F 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 26%
56-57°F 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
49°F or below
$77 交易量
1%
50-51°F
$77 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$182 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$204 交易量
3%
56-57°F
$392 交易量
5%
58-59°F
$32 交易量
26%
60-61°F
$55 交易量
38%
62-63°F
$104 交易量
28%
64-65°F
$72 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$40 交易量
1%
68°F or higher
$45 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 3, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 58–63°F. This positioning reflects the latest model consensus on a moderating air mass following recent early June conditions, with typical variability in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from stronger synoptic features like fronts or high pressure. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows near 60°F, providing context for why probabilities favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated model runs and any revisions to guidance on cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,279结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 3, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 58–63°F. This positioning reflects the latest model consensus on a moderating air mass following recent early June conditions, with typical variability in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from stronger synoptic features like fronts or high pressure. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows near 60°F, providing context for why probabilities favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated model runs and any revisions to guidance on cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,279结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 3, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 58–63°F. This positioning reflects the latest model consensus on a moderating air mass following recent early June conditions, with typical variability in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from stronger synoptic features like fronts or high pressure. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows near 60°F, providing context for why probabilities favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated model runs and any revisions to guidance on cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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