National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to clear skies and light northwest winds overnight, promoting strong radiative cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 50s Fahrenheit. This guidance, consistent across recent model runs, sits several degrees below the early-June climatological average near 59 °F and aligns directly with the heaviest market weighting on the 52–55 °F bins. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant warm-air advection reinforce the cooler outcome, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by a degree or two before the thermometer bottoms out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
52-53°F 45%
54-55°F 32%
50-51°F 9%
56-57°F 3.5%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 45%
54-55°F 32%
50-51°F 9%
56-57°F 3.5%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to clear skies and light northwest winds overnight, promoting strong radiative cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 50s Fahrenheit. This guidance, consistent across recent model runs, sits several degrees below the early-June climatological average near 59 °F and aligns directly with the heaviest market weighting on the 52–55 °F bins. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant warm-air advection reinforce the cooler outcome, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by a degree or two before the thermometer bottoms out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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