Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on June 2 will likely reach or exceed 29°C, driving the 89% market-implied odds for that outcome. Early June climatology features rapid warming as solar insolation increases and prevailing northerly flows weaken, with ensemble models showing peak temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius absent significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Recent model runs align with historical averages for the period, where highs frequently surpass 28°C, while lower outcomes below 27°C remain unlikely given stable high-pressure dominance and minimal precipitation expected. Traders are monitoring the final official observation from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 2?
29°C or higher 90%
28°C 12%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$10,760 交易量
$10,760 交易量
2026-06-02
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
90%
29°C or higher 90%
28°C 12%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$10,760 交易量
$10,760 交易量
2026-06-02
19°C or below
$192 交易量
<1%
20°C
$292 交易量
<1%
21°C
$539 交易量
<1%
22°C
$857 交易量
<1%
23°C
$803 交易量
<1%
24°C
$627 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,209 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,720 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,218 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,252 交易量
12%
29°C or higher
$2,397 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on June 2 will likely reach or exceed 29°C, driving the 89% market-implied odds for that outcome. Early June climatology features rapid warming as solar insolation increases and prevailing northerly flows weaken, with ensemble models showing peak temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius absent significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Recent model runs align with historical averages for the period, where highs frequently surpass 28°C, while lower outcomes below 27°C remain unlikely given stable high-pressure dominance and minimal precipitation expected. Traders are monitoring the final official observation from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,760结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on June 2 will likely reach or exceed 29°C, driving the 89% market-implied odds for that outcome. Early June climatology features rapid warming as solar insolation increases and prevailing northerly flows weaken, with ensemble models showing peak temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius absent significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Recent model runs align with historical averages for the period, where highs frequently surpass 28°C, while lower outcomes below 27°C remain unlikely given stable high-pressure dominance and minimal precipitation expected. Traders are monitoring the final official observation from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,760结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on June 2 will likely reach or exceed 29°C, driving the 89% market-implied odds for that outcome. Early June climatology features rapid warming as solar insolation increases and prevailing northerly flows weaken, with ensemble models showing peak temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius absent significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Recent model runs align with historical averages for the period, where highs frequently surpass 28°C, while lower outcomes below 27°C remain unlikely given stable high-pressure dominance and minimal precipitation expected. Traders are monitoring the final official observation from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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