Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul point to peak daytime temperatures of 28°C or higher on June 3, driven by warm southerly flow and reduced cloud cover under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering near or above this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology where average highs reach 24–27°C amid moderating influences from the Black Sea and Mediterranean. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicate limited cooling overnight, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress maxima. These conditions have elevated market-implied odds for 28°C or above to 89.5%, while lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected marine layer development or model adjustments occur before final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C或更高
90%
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C或更高
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul point to peak daytime temperatures of 28°C or higher on June 3, driven by warm southerly flow and reduced cloud cover under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering near or above this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology where average highs reach 24–27°C amid moderating influences from the Black Sea and Mediterranean. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicate limited cooling overnight, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress maxima. These conditions have elevated market-implied odds for 28°C or above to 89.5%, while lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected marine layer development or model adjustments occur before final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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