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icon for 6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?

6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?

icon for 6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?

6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?

28°C或更高 90%

27°C 11%

26°C 1.4%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
最新

28°C或更高 90%

27°C 11%

26°C 1.4%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
最新

18°C或以下

$436 交易量

<1%

19°C

$436 交易量

<1%

20°C

$530 交易量

<1%

21°C

$481 交易量

<1%

22°C

$392 交易量

<1%

23°C

$183 交易量

<1%

24°C

$176 交易量

1%

25°C

$298 交易量

1%

26°C

$904 交易量

1%

27°C

$123 交易量

11%

28°C或更高

$394 交易量

90%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul point to peak daytime temperatures of 28°C or higher on June 3, driven by warm southerly flow and reduced cloud cover under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering near or above this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology where average highs reach 24–27°C amid moderating influences from the Black Sea and Mediterranean. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicate limited cooling overnight, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress maxima. These conditions have elevated market-implied odds for 28°C or above to 89.5%, while lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected marine layer development or model adjustments occur before final readings.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,313
结束日期
2026-06-03
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul point to peak daytime temperatures of 28°C or higher on June 3, driven by warm southerly flow and reduced cloud cover under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering near or above this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology where average highs reach 24–27°C amid moderating influences from the Black Sea and Mediterranean. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicate limited cooling overnight, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress maxima. These conditions have elevated market-implied odds for 28°C or above to 89.5%, while lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected marine layer development or model adjustments occur before final readings.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,313
结束日期
2026-06-03
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"28°C或更高",概率为 90%,其次是"27°C",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 90¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 90%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?"的当前领先者是"28°C或更高",概率为 90%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 90%。紧随其后的结果是"27°C",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。