Recent model guidance and seasonal climatology indicate strengthening high-pressure influence and rising solar insolation over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting maximum temperatures of 28 °C or higher in Istanbul on June 3. Early-June historical averages near 25–26 °C have trended upward in recent years, and current ensemble forecasts show limited cooling from northerly flow or cloud cover. With the date only one day ahead, forecast confidence remains high, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any seabreeze could still affect the final reading. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these stable warm conditions against official station data thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C或更高
90%
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C或更高
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and seasonal climatology indicate strengthening high-pressure influence and rising solar insolation over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting maximum temperatures of 28 °C or higher in Istanbul on June 3. Early-June historical averages near 25–26 °C have trended upward in recent years, and current ensemble forecasts show limited cooling from northerly flow or cloud cover. With the date only one day ahead, forecast confidence remains high, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any seabreeze could still affect the final reading. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these stable warm conditions against official station data thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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