Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul reaching or exceeding 28°C on June 3, driven by strengthening solar insolation and typical early-summer atmospheric patterns that favor warmer advection over the region. This aligns with climatological baselines where early June highs average 23–26°C and rise steadily, with minimal risk of cooler northerly intrusions or significant cloud cover suppressing readings. Model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while assigning only marginal odds to lower thresholds amid stable synoptic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
6月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C或更高
90%
28°C或更高 90%
27°C 11%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
18°C或以下
$436 交易量
<1%
19°C
$436 交易量
<1%
20°C
$509 交易量
<1%
21°C
$460 交易量
<1%
22°C
$371 交易量
<1%
23°C
$162 交易量
<1%
24°C
$132 交易量
1%
25°C
$261 交易量
<1%
26°C
$585 交易量
1%
27°C
$102 交易量
11%
28°C或更高
$365 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul reaching or exceeding 28°C on June 3, driven by strengthening solar insolation and typical early-summer atmospheric patterns that favor warmer advection over the region. This aligns with climatological baselines where early June highs average 23–26°C and rise steadily, with minimal risk of cooler northerly intrusions or significant cloud cover suppressing readings. Model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while assigning only marginal odds to lower thresholds amid stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$3,802结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul reaching or exceeding 28°C on June 3, driven by strengthening solar insolation and typical early-summer atmospheric patterns that favor warmer advection over the region. This aligns with climatological baselines where early June highs average 23–26°C and rise steadily, with minimal risk of cooler northerly intrusions or significant cloud cover suppressing readings. Model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while assigning only marginal odds to lower thresholds amid stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,802结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul reaching or exceeding 28°C on June 3, driven by strengthening solar insolation and typical early-summer atmospheric patterns that favor warmer advection over the region. This aligns with climatological baselines where early June highs average 23–26°C and rise steadily, with minimal risk of cooler northerly intrusions or significant cloud cover suppressing readings. Model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while assigning only marginal odds to lower thresholds amid stable synoptic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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