Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance places London’s June 3 maximum near the seasonal average of 18–20 °C, with a mix of cloud, scattered showers, and light winds limiting strong daytime heating. Model spreads show the highest probability band centered on 18–19 °C, while the modest tail toward 20–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much sun breaks through. Traders have therefore concentrated volume on the narrow 18–19 °C cluster, consistent with official outlooks that temperatures will remain close to or slightly below normal following the warmer May period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日伦敦气温最高?
18°C 37%
19°C 30%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
$12,965 交易量
$12,965 交易量
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
15%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 30%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
$12,965 交易量
$12,965 交易量
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
15%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance places London’s June 3 maximum near the seasonal average of 18–20 °C, with a mix of cloud, scattered showers, and light winds limiting strong daytime heating. Model spreads show the highest probability band centered on 18–19 °C, while the modest tail toward 20–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much sun breaks through. Traders have therefore concentrated volume on the narrow 18–19 °C cluster, consistent with official outlooks that temperatures will remain close to or slightly below normal following the warmer May period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题