Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 in a narrow 12–15 °C band, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with an approaching frontal system are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above early-June climatological norms of 12–13 °C. Light southwesterly flow will further moderate overnight temperatures, while any breaks in cloud could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower end of the range. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C 23%
15°C 22%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
23%
13°C
24%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C 23%
15°C 22%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
23%
13°C
24%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 in a narrow 12–15 °C band, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with an approaching frontal system are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above early-June climatological norms of 12–13 °C. Light southwesterly flow will further moderate overnight temperatures, while any breaks in cloud could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower end of the range. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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