Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate Seoul overnight lows near 18°C on June 3 under intermittent cloud cover, supporting the tight market split between 18°C and 19°C. Cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, while higher humidity typical of early summer can trap heat and limit drops below 19°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower end through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas any increase in low-level moisture or wind could hold temperatures near 19–20°C. These values align with climatological June averages of 17–19°C lows, with model consensus showing limited variability absent major frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected within hours could refine resolution thresholds around these narrow bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 3?
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
20°C 16%
17°C 4.0%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
20°C 16%
17°C 4.0%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate Seoul overnight lows near 18°C on June 3 under intermittent cloud cover, supporting the tight market split between 18°C and 19°C. Cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, while higher humidity typical of early summer can trap heat and limit drops below 19°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower end through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas any increase in low-level moisture or wind could hold temperatures near 19–20°C. These values align with climatological June averages of 17–19°C lows, with model consensus showing limited variability absent major frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected within hours could refine resolution thresholds around these narrow bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题