Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on June 2 projects a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the National Hurricane Center’s parent agency NOAA noting typical early-June steering patterns and moderate humidity limiting extreme heat. This consensus aligns with the 88–91°F bins holding over 76% combined implied probability, as historical normals near 91°F and recent long-range outlooks describe sunny, hot conditions without strong high-pressure amplification. Minor model spread around cloud cover and seabreeze timing introduces the observed tilt toward 88–89°F, while the low odds on 92°F+ reflect limited potential for rapid warming absent a forecast shift. Updated model runs later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on June 2?
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 14%
92°F or higher 11%
$31,575 交易量
$31,575 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
34%
92°F or higher
11%
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 14%
92°F or higher 11%
$31,575 交易量
$31,575 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
34%
92°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on June 2 projects a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the National Hurricane Center’s parent agency NOAA noting typical early-June steering patterns and moderate humidity limiting extreme heat. This consensus aligns with the 88–91°F bins holding over 76% combined implied probability, as historical normals near 91°F and recent long-range outlooks describe sunny, hot conditions without strong high-pressure amplification. Minor model spread around cloud cover and seabreeze timing introduces the observed tilt toward 88–89°F, while the low odds on 92°F+ reflect limited potential for rapid warming absent a forecast shift. Updated model runs later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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